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07seoul3269 [2018/06/09 18:35]
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07seoul3269 [2018/06/21 17:28] (현재)
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-|  07SEOUL3269 ​ |  2007-11-06 07:43  |   ​기밀 ​ |  주한미국대사관 ​ |  {{tag>CH KN KS PGOV PINR PREL RS }}  |+|  07SEOUL3269 ​ |  2007-11-06 07:43  |  기밀 ​ |  주한미국대사관 ​ |  {{tag>CH KN KS PGOV PINR PREL RS }}  | 
 ====== 제 목: 이인제 후보: 아직도 사퇴하지 않아 ====== ====== 제 목: 이인제 후보: 아직도 사퇴하지 않아 ======
-기 밀 SEOUL 003269 
-국방부망 배포((번역 주: SIPDIS, Siprnet Distribution)) 
-국방부망 배포 
  
-행정명령 12958: 비밀해제:​ 12/10/2014 +기 밀 SEOUL 003269 국방부망 배포((번역 주: SIPDIS, Siprnet Distribution)) ​ 국방부망 배포 
-태그: CH(([China (Mainland)])),​ KN(([Korea (North)])), KS(([Korea (South)])), PGOV(([Internal Governmental Affairs])), PINR(([Intelligence])),​ PREL(([External Political Relations])),​ RS(([Russia;​ Wrangel Islands])) + 
-제 목: 이인제 후보: 아직도 사퇴하지 않아 +행정명령 12958: 비밀해제:​ 12/10/2014 태그: CH(([China (Mainland)])) , KN(([Korea (North)])) , KS(([Korea (South)])) , PGOV(([Internal Governmental Affairs])) , PINR(([Intelligence])) , PREL(([External Political Relations])) , RS(([Russia;​ Wrangel Islands])) ​ 제 목: 이인제 후보: 아직도 사퇴하지 않아 분류자: 알렉산더 버시바우 대사. 근거 1.4 (b,d). 번역자: PoirotKr (트위터 사용자명) ​— //​[[poirotkr@wikileaks-kr.org|Micheal H. Rhee]] 2012/10/15 20:38//
-분류자: 알렉산더 버시바우 대사. 근거 1.4 (b,d). +
-번역자: PoirotKr (트위터 사용자명) ​--- //​[[poirotkr@wikileaks-kr.org|Micheal H. Rhee]] 2012/10/15 20:38//+
  
 ===== 요점 ===== ===== 요점 =====
줄 26: 줄 22:
 ===== 이회창 출마 할까? ===== ===== 이회창 출마 할까? =====
  
-5. (기밀) 정치 공사 참사관은 한나라당 전 대표를 역임했고 두 차례 대선 후보를 지낸 이회창의 대선 출마 가능성에 대해 어떻게 생각하는지 이인제에게 질문하였다. 이인제는 오직 두 사람 정치가와 예수만이 부활할 수 있다고 지적하였다. 이회창은 죽지 않았기 때문에, 그가 출마한다고 해도 난 놀라지 않을 거다. (주석: 이인제는 만일 이회창이 출마한다면, ​<wrap hi>이인제보다도 더 나쁜 사람이 될 거라고</​wrap> ​기자에게 말한 바 있다. 주석 끝.) 그러나 2002년 이회창은 불법 정치 자금을 모금한 책임을 지고 검찰에 불려 갔었다. 검찰은 이회창을 돌려보냈는데,​ 만일 이회창을 기소하면,​ 노무현 대통령도 역시 기소해야만 했기 때문이었다. 그러므로 이회창이 출마하더라도 그의 과거 부패 전력 때문에 문제에 봉착할 수 있다. +5. (기밀) 정치 공사 참사관은 한나라당 전 대표를 역임했고 두 차례 대선 후보를 지낸 이회창의 대선 출마 가능성에 대해 어떻게 생각하는지 이인제에게 질문하였다. 이인제는 오직 두 사람 정치가와 예수만이 부활할 수 있다고 지적하였다. 이회창은 죽지 않았기 때문에, 그가 출마한다고 해도 난 놀라지 않을 거다. (주석: 이인제는 만일 이회창이 출마한다면,​ 이인제보다도 더 나쁜 사람이 될 거라고 기자에게 말한 바 있다. 주석 끝.) 그러나 2002년 이회창은 불법 정치 자금을 모금한 책임을 지고 검찰에 불려 갔었다. 검찰은 이회창을 돌려보냈는데,​ 만일 이회창을 기소하면,​ 노무현 대통령도 역시 기소해야만 했기 때문이었다. 그러므로 이회창이 출마하더라도 그의 과거 부패 전력 때문에 문제에 봉착할 수 있다. 
-<WRAP center round info 80%> +
-//​**이인제의 실제 발언은?​**//​‘제2의 이인제’라는 비판에 이인제가 한 실제 발언은? 이 전 총재와 관련해 '​제2의 이인제'​라는 비판이 나오는 데 대해선 "이 전 총재가 출마한다면 나보다 죄질이 더 나쁘다. 1997년 대선에서 나는 적어도 아들 병역 문제로 이 전 총재의 지지율이 7%까지 내려간 뒤에 나왔다"​고 반박했다. [[https://​www.evernote.com/​shard/​s258/​sh/​ecdf2c71-a39b-4014-b10d-28813087ae59/​cab41255a2bab47e9a77c79a976bfa94|”이회창,​ 출마하면 나보다 더 나빠”]] //​중앙일보//​ +
-</​WRAP>​+
 ===== 문국현, 기회 있나? ===== ===== 문국현, 기회 있나? =====
  
줄 42: 줄 36:
 ===== 이라크 ===== ===== 이라크 =====
  
-9. (기밀) 이인제는 한국의 자이툰 부대 이라크 파병 연장을 지지한 첫 번째 대통령 후보라고 말하였다. 이라크에서 대량살상무기가 발견되지 않은 연유로, 미국의 이라크 임무 대한 자신의 확고한 지지에 대해 날 선 비판을 받아왔다고 말하였다. 그러나 테러리즘과의 싸움은 중요하다. 이상렬 의원은 민주당이 처음에는 파병 연장에 반대했지만,​ 이인제가 당을 설득하여 지지하도록 했다고 지적하였다. 민주당과 한나라당은 파병 연장을 전적으로 지지하긴 하지만, 대선으로 가는 길목에서 긴장을 늦출 수 없는 정치 상황이기 때문에 국회를 통과하기 어려울 거다. 대사는 자이툰 파병은 한미 동맹에서 중요하고,​ 이라크 국민에게도 유익할 뿐만 아니라 한국의 전 세계적 위상의 개선에도 중요하다고 말하였다. 최 원내대표는 만일 한국 기업체들이 이라크에서 돈을 벌기 시작한다면,​ 이라크 파병에 대한 대중적 지지도 극적으로 증가할 거라고 말하였다. ​+9. (기밀) 이인제는 한국의 자이툰 부대 이라크 파병 연장을 지지한 첫 번째 대통령 후보라고 말하였다. 이라크에서 대량살상무기가 발견되지 않은 연유로, 미국의 이라크 임무 대한 자신의 확고한 지지에 대해 날 선 비판을 받아왔다고 말하였다. 그러나 테러리즘과의 싸움은 중요하다. 이상렬 의원은 민주당이 처음에는 파병 연장에 반대했지만,​ 이인제가 당을 설득하여 지지하도록 했다고 지적하였다. 민주당과 한나라당은 파병 연장을 전적으로 지지하긴 하지만, 대선으로 가는 길목에서 긴장을 늦출 수 없는 정치 상황이기 때문에 국회를 통과하기 어려울 거다. 대사는 자이툰 파병은 한미 동맹에서 중요하고,​ 이라크 국민에게도 유익할 뿐만 아니라 한국의 전 세계적 위상의 개선에도 중요하다고 말하였다. 최 원내대표는 만일 한국 기업체들이 이라크에서 돈을 벌기 시작한다면,​ 이라크 파병에 대한 대중적 지지도 극적으로 증가할 거라고 말하였다.
  
 ===== 6자 회담 ===== ===== 6자 회담 =====
줄 56: 줄 50:
 ===== 논평 ===== ===== 논평 =====
  
-13. (기밀) 이인제는 정치계의 생존자이다. 1997년 대선에서 19%가 넘는 득표를 한 이후에, 그는 노무현이 2002년 경선에서 선두로 나선 이후에 물러나기 전까지 경선의 선두 후보였다. 여론조사에서 한 자리 수 지지로 주요한 예비 후보들에 뒤처진 가운데, 이인제가 12월에 승리할 기회는 없다. 그러나 그가 (군소정당이긴 하지만) 한 정당의 후보라는 그 사실이 내년 국회의원 선거에서 하나의 역할을 하게 해준다. 10년간 세간의 이목으로부터 사라졌었지만,​ 이인제는 이번 대선에서 정치적으로 재기하는 데 성공하였다. +13. (기밀) 이인제는 정치계의 생존자이다. 1997년 대선에서 19%가 넘는 득표를 한 이후에, 그는 노무현이 2002년 경선에서 선두로 나선 이후에 물러나기 전까지 경선의 선두 후보였다. 여론조사에서 한 자리 수 지지로 주요한 예비 후보들에 뒤처진 가운데, 이인제가 12월에 승리할 기회는 없다. 그러나 그가 (군소정당이긴 하지만) 한 정당의 후보라는 그 사실이 내년 국회의원 선거에서 하나의 역할을 하게 해준다. 10년간 세간의 이목으로부터 사라졌었지만,​ 이인제는 이번 대선에서 정치적으로 재기하는 데 성공하였다. //​버시바우//​ [[https://​sites.google.com/​site/​poirotkr/​8/​07seoul3269|포와로 탐정의 번역]] © 무단복제나 전재를 금지합니다.
-//​버시바우//​ +
-[[https://​sites.google.com/​site/​poirotkr/​8/​07seoul3269|포와로 탐정의 번역]] © 무단복제나 전재를 금지합니다.+
  
-===== 바깥 고리 ===== 
-  - [[http://​bit.ly/​RZx7jE|김영삼,​ 이인제 그리고 이회창의 애증]] //펜펜의 나홀로 산행// 
-  - [[http://​bit.ly/​QnDD2o|이인제 "​문국현?​ 뭐, 화장지 회사 사장했다던데..."​]] //​오마이뉴스//​ 
-  - [[http://​bit.ly/​TWweuX|정동영 후보 선출 관련 보도..조선.동아.중앙.서울]] //JTS의 자료집// 
 ===== 원본 내려받기 ===== ===== 원본 내려받기 =====
 +
 <file rtf 07SEOUL3269.rtf>​ <file rtf 07SEOUL3269.rtf>​
-C O N F I D E N T I A L SEOUL 003269  +C O N F I D E N T I A L SEOUL 003269 
-  + 
-SIPDIS  +SIPDIS 
-  + 
-SIPDIS  +SIPDIS 
-  + 
-E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/10/2014  +E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/​10/​2014 
-TAGS: CH [China (Mainland)],​ KN [Korea (North)], KS [Korea (South)], PGOV [Internal Governmental Affairs], PINR [Intelligence],​ PREL [External Political Relations], RS [Russia;​ Wrangel Islands]  +TAGS: CH [China (Mainland)],​ KN [Korea (North)], KS [Korea (South)], PGOV [Internal Governmental Affairs], PINR [Intelligence],​ PREL [External Political Relations], RS [Russia;​ Wrangel Islands] 
-SUBJECT: CANDIDATE RHEE IN-JAE: STILL RUNNING ​ +SUBJECT: CANDIDATE RHEE IN-JAE: STILL RUNNING 
-  + 
-  +Classified By: Amb. Alexander Vershbow. ​ Reasons 1.4 (b,d). 
-Classified By: Amb. Alexander Vershbow. ​ Reasons 1.4 (b,d).  + 
-  +¶1.  (C) Summary: Over a November 2 lunch with the Ambassador,​ 
-¶1.  (C) Summary: Over a November 2 lunch with the Ambassador,  +Democratic Party (DP) presidential candidate Rhee In-jae 
-Democratic Party (DP) presidential candidate Rhee In-jae  +explained that if he were elected president, U.S.-ROK 
-explained that if he were elected president, U.S.-ROK  +relations would improve, he would institute policies that 
-relations would improve, he would institute policies that  +encouraged reform in North Korea, and he would create many 
-encouraged reform in North Korea, and he would create many  +quality jobs for lower and middle class Koreans. ​  Rhee said 
-quality jobs for lower and middle class Koreans. ​  Rhee said  +that his pro-U.S. stance, centrist reform policies and 
-that his pro-U.S. stance, centrist reform policies and  +pragmatic approach would make life for the U.S. very 
-pragmatic approach would make life for the U.S. very  +comfortable. ​  ​Supportive of the KORUS FTA, Rhee explained 
-comfortable. ​  ​Supportive of the KORUS FTA, Rhee explained  +that the ROKG should provide sufficient compensation to 
-that the ROKG should provide sufficient compensation to  +farmers who could be adversely affected by the FTA.  Noting 
-farmers who could be adversely affected by the FTA.  Noting  +that he was the first presidential candidate to express 
-that he was the first presidential candidate to express  +support for the extension of ROK's Iraq Zaytun deployment,​ 
-support for the extension of ROK's Iraq Zaytun deployment,  +Rhee said he would be the best alliance partner for the U.S. 
-Rhee said he would be the best alliance partner for the U.S.  + On North Korea, it was important to work together until 
- On North Korea, it was important to work together until  +North Korea had given up its nuclear arsenal, but it was also 
-North Korea had given up its nuclear arsenal, but it was also  +important for the international community to prevent the DPRK 
-important for the international community to prevent the DPRK  +from undertaking a second nuclear test.  While Rhee admitted 
-from undertaking a second nuclear test.  While Rhee admitted  +GNP candidate Lee Myung-bak had a big lead, he said that most 
-GNP candidate Lee Myung-bak had a big lead, he said that most  +voters were still looking for a better option and he was that 
-voters were still looking for a better option and he was that  +option. ​ (Note: Rhee receives between 2 and 3 percent support 
-option. ​ (Note: Rhee receives between 2 and 3 percent support  +in recent polls.) ​ End Summary 
-in recent polls.) ​ End Summary  + 
-  +--------------------------- 
----------------------------  +Candidate Policy Comparison 
-Candidate Policy Comparison  +--------------------------- 
----------------------------  + 
-  +¶2.  (C) Over lunch with the Ambassador on November 2, 
-¶2.  (C) Over lunch with the Ambassador on November 2,  +Democratic Party presidential candidate Rhee In-jae said he 
-Democratic Party presidential candidate Rhee In-jae said he  +would stress job creation and centrist reform policies to set 
-would stress job creation and centrist reform policies to set  +him apart from other candidates. ​ The Grand National Party 
-him apart from other candidates. ​ The Grand National Party  +(GNP) was too conservative,​ representing the politics of the 
-(GNP) was too conservative,​ representing the politics of the  +past authoritarian regimes; the United New Democratic Party 
-past authoritarian regimes; the United New Democratic Party  +(UNDP) was simply a rootless party that represented outdated 
-(UNDP) was simply a rootless party that represented outdated  +liberal policies. ​ Rhee said he would create jobs to help the 
-liberal policies. ​ Rhee said he would create jobs to help the  +middle and lower classes by emphasizing small and medium 
-middle and lower classes by emphasizing small and medium  +businesses and encouraging venture and high-tech business 
-businesses and encouraging venture and high-tech business  +development. ​ His policies would help the 80 percent of 
-development. ​ His policies would help the 80 percent of  +Koreans that were in the lower and middle classes. 
-Koreans that were in the lower and middle classes.  + 
-  +¶3.  (C) The Ambassador noted that UNDP Candidate Chung 
-¶3.  (C) The Ambassador noted that UNDP Candidate Chung  +Dong-young was using similar 80-20 language to emphasize 
-Dong-young was using similar 80-20 language to emphasize  +helping all Koreans and asked how Rhee's policies differed 
-helping all Koreans and asked how Rhee's policies differed  +from Chung'​s. ​ Rhee said he would lower taxes and especially 
-from Chung'​s. ​ Rhee said he would lower taxes and especially  +corporate tax to increase productivity. ​ Chung wanted to 
-corporate tax to increase productivity. ​ Chung wanted to  +raise taxes to redistribute income and wealth while Rhee 
-raise taxes to redistribute income and wealth while Rhee  +wanted to lower taxes to create jobs.  GNP Candidate Lee 
-wanted to lower taxes to create jobs.  GNP Candidate Lee  +Myung-bak'​s economic policies were good only for large 
-Myung-bak'​s economic policies were good only for large  +chaebol conglomerates and would increase national wealth but 
-chaebol conglomerates and would increase national wealth but  +not create quality jobs. 
-not create quality jobs.  + 
-  +¶4.  (C) Noting that the DP had a long history and strong 
-¶4.  (C) Noting that the DP had a long history and strong  +regional roots, Rhee said that if each political party were a 
-regional roots, Rhee said that if each political party were a  +tree, the GNP would be a big tree with rotten roots and 
-tree, the GNP would be a big tree with rotten roots and  +inedible fruit, the UNDP would be a tree with no roots and no 
-inedible fruit, the UNDP would be a tree with no roots and no  +fruit, and the DP would be a tree with deep, strong roots and 
-fruit, and the DP would be a tree with deep, strong roots and  +damaged branches. ​ With just a little sun, the DP tree could 
-damaged branches. ​ With just a little sun, the DP tree could  +bear good fruit and win the election in December. 
-bear good fruit and win the election in December.  + 
-  +--------------------------- 
----------------------------  +Lee Hoi-chang: Will He Run? 
-Lee Hoi-chang: Will He Run?  +--------------------------- 
----------------------------  + 
-  +¶5.  (C) Political M/C asked what Rhee thought about former 
-¶5.  (C) Political M/C asked what Rhee thought about former  +GNP Chairman and two-time presidential candidate Lee 
-GNP Chairman and two-time presidential candidate Lee  +Hoi-chang'​s possible run for president. ​ Rhee noted that only 
-Hoi-chang'​s possible run for president. ​ Rhee noted that only  +two people could be resurrected:​ politicians and Jesus 
-two people could be resurrected:​ politicians and Jesus  +Christ. ​ Since Lee Hoi-chang was not dead, it would not 
-Christ. ​ Since Lee Hoi-chang was not dead, it would not  +surprise him if Lee ran.  (NOTE: Rhee told reporters on 
-surprise him if Lee ran.  (NOTE: Rhee told reporters on  +November 2 that if Lee Hoi-chang ran, Lee would be a worse 
-November 2 that if Lee Hoi-chang ran, Lee would be a worse  +person than Rhee was.  END NOTE)  However, in 2002, Lee 
-person than Rhee was.  END NOTE)  However, in 2002, Lee  +Hoi-chang went to the prosecutor'​s office to take blame for 
-Hoi-chang went to the prosecutor'​s office to take blame for  +raising illegal political funds. ​ The prosecutor'​s office 
-raising illegal political funds. ​ The prosecutor'​s office  +sent Lee away because, if they had prosecuted Lee, they would 
-sent Lee away because, if they had prosecuted Lee, they would  +have had to prosecute President Roh Moo-hyun as well. 
-have had to prosecute President Roh Moo-hyun as well.  +Therefore, even if Lee ran, he could run into problems for 
-Therefore, even if Lee ran, he could run into problems for  +his corrupt past. 
-his corrupt past.  + 
-  +-------------------------- 
---------------------------  +Moon Kuk-hyun: Any Chance? 
-Moon Kuk-hyun: Any Chance?  +-------------------------- 
---------------------------  + 
-  +¶6.  (C) Rhee said that support for independent candidate and 
-¶6.  (C) Rhee said that support for independent candidate and  +former Yuhan-Kimberly President Moon Kuk-hyun was just a 
-former Yuhan-Kimberly President Moon Kuk-hyun was just a  +political breeze with no substance. ​ People supported Moon 
-political breeze with no substance. ​ People supported Moon  +simply out of frustration with other politicians. ​ No one 
-simply out of frustration with other politicians. ​ No one  +knows who Moon is -- they just know he has not been involved 
-knows who Moon is -- they just know he has not been involved  +in politics. ​ Moon's popularity was essentially a bubble; it 
-in politics. ​ Moon's popularity was essentially a bubble; it  +would soon pop.  Because he lacked political substance, Moon 
-would soon pop.  Because he lacked political substance, Moon  +could not play a central role in the election, but if he 
-could not play a central role in the election, but if he  +wanted to join the DP, Rhee said he would welcome Moon'​s 
-wanted to join the DP, Rhee said he would welcome Moon's  +support. 
-support.  + 
-  +¶7.  (C) The Ambassador asked if there was a method to create 
-¶7.  (C) The Ambassador asked if there was a method to create  +a single, unified liberal candidate and Rhee said that it was 
-a single, unified liberal candidate and Rhee said that it was  +possible since 40 percent of voters were against Lee 
-possible since 40 percent of voters were against Lee  +Myung-bak. ​ Therefore, people were looking for an anti-Lee 
-Myung-bak. ​ Therefore, people were looking for an anti-Lee  +candidate. ​ These people all believed in reform so they could 
-candidate. ​ These people all believed in reform so they could  +coalesce behind one candidate. ​ Normally, to conduct a poll, 
-coalesce behind one candidate. ​ Normally, to conduct a poll,  +for every 100 people called, 34 people would respond. ​ Now, 
-for every 100 people called, 34 people would respond. ​ Now,  +for political polls, only 15 people out of 100 responded. 
-for political polls, only 15 people out of 100 responded.  +They are frustrated with politics and have yet to find a 
-They are frustrated with politics and have yet to find a  +candidate who will provide them with hope.  If such a 
-candidate who will provide them with hope.  If such a  +candidate emerged, the anti-Lee forces could come together. 
-candidate emerged, the anti-Lee forces could come together.  + 
-  +-------------- 
---------------  +Foreign Policy 
-Foreign Policy  +-------------- 
---------------  + 
-  +¶8.  (C) Rhee said that there were not a lot of differences 
-¶8.  (C) Rhee said that there were not a lot of differences  +between all the candidates'​ North Korea policies. ​ Even GNP 
-between all the candidates'​ North Korea policies. ​ Even GNP  +Candidate Lee would continue the current engagement, maybe 
-Candidate Lee would continue the current engagement, maybe  +with denuclearization as a precondition. ​ Former Unification 
-with denuclearization as a precondition. ​ Former Unification  +Minister Chung would closely follow President Roh'​s 
-Minister Chung would closely follow President Roh's  +engagement policy. ​ Engagement would also continue under a 
-engagement policy. ​ Engagement would also continue under a  +Rhee administration,​ but Rhee would not tolerate a nuclear 
-Rhee administration,​ but Rhee would not tolerate a nuclear  +North Korea nor continued violation of North Korean peoples'​ 
-North Korea nor continued violation of North Korean peoples'​  +human rights. ​ With further economic cooperation,​ North Korea 
-human rights. ​ With further economic cooperation,​ North Korea  +would gain confidence that their regime would continue and 
-would gain confidence that their regime would continue and  +implement reform. ​ An open North Korea would naturally become 
-implement reform. ​ An open North Korea would naturally become  +nuclear-free and emphasize more respect for individuals'​ 
-nuclear-free and emphasize more respect for individuals'​  +human rights. 
-human rights.  + 
-  +---- 
-----  +Iraq 
-Iraq  +---- 
-----  + 
-  +¶9.  (C) Rhee said he was the first presidential candidate to 
-¶9.  (C) Rhee said he was the first presidential candidate to  +support the extension of the ROK's Zaytun deployment to Iraq. 
-support the extension of the ROK's Zaytun deployment to Iraq.  + Since no weapons of mass destruction had been found in Iraq, 
- Since no weapons of mass destruction had been found in Iraq,  +Rhee said he had been sharply criticized for his staunch 
-Rhee said he had been sharply criticized for his staunch  +support for the mission in Iraq.  However, it was important 
-support for the mission in Iraq.  However, it was important  +to fight terrorism. ​ Lawmaker Lee Sang-ryul noted that the DP 
-to fight terrorism. ​ Lawmaker Lee Sang-ryul noted that the DP  +was initially opposed to the troop extension, but that Rhee 
-was initially opposed to the troop extension, but that Rhee  +had convinced the party to support it.  While the DP and the 
-had convinced the party to support it.  While the DP and the  +GNP fully supported the deployment'​s extension, it would be 
-GNP fully supported the deployment'​s extension, it would be  +difficult to pass the Assembly due to the tense political 
-difficult to pass the Assembly due to the tense political  +situation in the run-up to the presidential election. ​ The 
-situation in the run-up to the presidential election. ​ The  +Ambassador said the Zaytun deployment was important for the 
-Ambassador said the Zaytun deployment was important for the  +alliance, good for the Iraqi people, and improved Korea'​s 
-alliance, good for the Iraqi people, and improved Korea'​s  +global standing. ​ Floor Leader Choi said that if Korean 
-global standing. ​ Floor Leader Choi said that if Korean  +companies could start making money in Iraq, popular support 
-companies could start making money in Iraq, popular support  +for the deployment would dramatically increase. 
-for the deployment would dramatically increase.  + 
-  +--------------- 
----------------  +Six Party Talks 
-Six Party Talks  +--------------- 
----------------  + 
-  +¶10.  (C) Rhee said that North Korea should give up its 
-¶10.  (C) Rhee said that North Korea should give up its  +nuclear program but we all had to be watchful that the DPRK 
-nuclear program but we all had to be watchful that the DPRK  +did not conduct a second nuclear test while negotiating 
-did not conduct a second nuclear test while negotiating  +denuclearization. ​ The Ambassador said most in the U.S. did 
-denuclearization. ​ The Ambassador said most in the U.S. did  +not expect a second nuclear test, and one of the main reasons 
-not expect a second nuclear test, and one of the main reasons  +was that the U.S. and ROK were working closely together to 
-was that the U.S. and ROK were working closely together to  +obtain a positive result. ​ Also, the Six Party Talks were 
-obtain a positive result. ​ Also, the Six Party Talks were  +progressing and the DPRK was receiving increased aid so they 
-progressing and the DPRK was receiving increased aid so they  +would likely not want to provoke the international community 
-would likely not want to provoke the international community  +at this time.  Rhee said he was neither optimistic nor 
-at this time.  Rhee said he was neither optimistic nor  +pessimistic that Kim Jong-il would give up his nuclear 
-pessimistic that Kim Jong-il would give up his nuclear  +program, but he remained suspicious of a second test since 
-program, but he remained suspicious of a second test since  +other nuclear powers had tested more than once to prove to 
-other nuclear powers had tested more than once to prove to  +the world they had nuclear capability. 
-the world they had nuclear capability.  + 
-  +¶11.  (C) Rhee asked when the U.S. would establish diplomatic 
-¶11.  (C) Rhee asked when the U.S. would establish diplomatic  +ties with North Korea and if normalization must wait until 
-ties with North Korea and if normalization must wait until  +all nuclear devices were gone from North Korea. ​ The 
-all nuclear devices were gone from North Korea. ​ The  +Ambassador said there could not be normal relations between 
-Ambassador said there could not be normal relations between  +the U.S. and North Korea until North Korea had completely 
-the U.S. and North Korea until North Korea had completely  +denuclearized. ​ This was also true of a peace treaty to 
-denuclearized. ​ This was also true of a peace treaty to  +replace the Armistice Agreement: there could not be a peace 
-replace the Armistice Agreement: there could not be a peace  +treaty until North Korea gave up nuclear weapons and its 
-treaty until North Korea gave up nuclear weapons and its  +nuclear program, although it was possible the negotiations 
-nuclear program, although it was possible the negotiations  +for such a peace regime could commence before complete 
-for such a peace regime could commence before complete  +denuclearization. 
-denuclearization.  + 
-  +---- 
-----  +Beef 
-Beef  +---- 
-----  + 
-  +¶12.  (C) Rhee said the issue of allowing U.S. bone-in-beef to 
-¶12.  (C) Rhee said the issue of allowing U.S. bone-in-beef to  +be imported to Korea caused him a headache. ​ The Ambassador 
-be imported to Korea caused him a headache. ​ The Ambassador  +said he hoped Rhee supported the resumption of U.S. beef 
-said he hoped Rhee supported the resumption of U.S. beef  +imports. ​ President Roh had promised to respect international 
-imports. ​ President Roh had promised to respect international  +scientific standards that have declared U.S. beef was safe; 
-scientific standards that have declared U.S. beef was safe;  +he hoped Rhee would do so as well.  Rhee noted that Japan did 
-he hoped Rhee would do so as well.  Rhee noted that Japan did  +not abide by international standards and the Ambassador said 
-not abide by international standards and the Ambassador said  +therefore, it would be a great opportunity for Korea to 
-therefore, it would be a great opportunity for Korea to  +import beef and to be ahead of Japan. ​ Since Korea, as an 
-import beef and to be ahead of Japan. ​ Since Korea, as an  +exporting nation, benefited from other nations following 
-exporting nation, benefited from other nations following  +rules, it should also follow international norms and allow 
-rules, it should also follow international norms and allow  +U.S. beef into Korea. 
-U.S. beef into Korea.  + 
-  +------- 
--------  +Comment 
-Comment  +------- 
--------  + 
-  +¶13.  (C) Rhee In-jae is a political survivor. ​ After gaining 
-¶13.  (C) Rhee In-jae is a political survivor. ​ After gaining  +over 19 percent of the popular vote in 1997, he was the 
-over 19 percent of the popular vote in 1997, he was the  +frontrunner in the 2002 primary before bowing out after Roh 
-frontrunner in the 2002 primary before bowing out after Roh  +Moo-hyun took the lead.  Trailing all major candidates with 
-Moo-hyun took the lead.  Trailing all major candidates with  +low single-digit support in polls, Rhee does not have a 
-low single-digit support in polls, Rhee does not have a  +chance to win in December. ​ However, the very fact he is a 
-chance to win in December. ​ However, the very fact he is a  +candidate of a party (however small) makes him a player in 
-candidate of a party (however small) makes him a player in  +the National Assembly elections next year.  Ten years removed 
-the National Assembly elections next year.  Ten years removed  +from the spotlight, this campaign has been a successful 
-from the spotlight, this campaign has been a successful  +political rebirth for Rhee.
-political rebirth for Rhee. +
 VERSHBOW VERSHBOW
 </​file>​ </​file>​
 +
 +----
 +
 +\\
 +
 +